NFL Draft: The Future of Drafting Running Backs
By Michael Schneid
Joique Bell is the backup running back to Reggie Bush in Detroit right now. Bell was undrafted in 2010 and bounced around his first year in the league before finding a home with the Lions. In 2011, the Lions drafted Jahvid Best in the first round and in 2012 drafted Mikel Leshoure in the second round. Best is retired with concussion problems and Leshoure has been inactive all year.
So no running backs were taken in the 2013 first round, which is amazing when you consider how successful some of this year's rookie backs have been. However due to the fragility of the position it is hard to justify using an early pick on the position in the future, especially when it is one with such fluidity.
Look at all the injuries this year - Arian Foster, Doug Martin, David Wilson, Ahmad Bradshaw., to name a few. Look at guys who have struggled - Trent Richardson, Ray Rice come to mind.
The 2014 draft
will have some excellent RB prospects. Baylor's Lache Seastrunk, Kadeem
Carey, Bishop Sankey, and Melvin Gordon will be among the top prospects.
But looking at these recent trends it is questionable whether any of
these guys will be first round picks.
Based on the 2013 draft and the last few drafts, it is going to be
hard to justify drafting a running back in the first round, especially
in the top few picks.
This year there were no running
backs taken in the first round. Many people expected Eddie Lacy to
likely be the one and only back taken in round one, he was the 4th back
taken in round two. Gio Bernard, Leveon Bell, and Montee Ball were all
drafted ahead of Lacy, who has been the most successful rookie RB this
season.
Bernard and Bell have both had success too.
Bell battled injuries earlier in the season but is now the true
workhorse for Pittsburgh while Gio Bernard splits carries with Ben
Jarvus Green Ellis but has gained more yards than him and out-touched
him as well.
Montee Ball is the backup to Knowshon Moreno and really hasn't done much. Moreno is a former first round pick. Also on Denver's depth chart is Ronnie Hillman, who was a second round pick last season.
Montee Ball is the backup to Knowshon Moreno and really hasn't done much. Moreno is a former first round pick. Also on Denver's depth chart is Ronnie Hillman, who was a second round pick last season.
Late in the 2013 draft the Rams took Zac Stacy, the Bucs drafted Mike James and the Cardinals drafted Andre Ellington.
The
Rams took Isaiah Pead in the second round of the 2012 draft, Daryl
Richardson in the 7th round and this year also signed Bennie Cunningham
as an undrafted free agent. Stacy is the starter with Richardson and
Cunningham behind him and Pead hardly sees the field. Rams are a great
example of maximizing late picks on RBs.
Look
at 2012. The Browns used the third overall pick on Trent Richardson and
earlier in the 2013 season traded him to the Colts for a 2014 first
rounder. At first glance, the trade seemed like a horrible decision. But
Richardson has been brutal with the Colts.
Also in
2012, the Dolphins took current starter Lamar Miller in the fourth round
and the Redskins took Alfred Morris in round 6. The Eagles drafted
Bryce Brown in the 7th round; Brown had a lot of success last season
when Lesean McCoy got hurt.
One of the best running
backs in football is the Eagles' Lesean McCoy. McCoy was the 53rd
overall draft pick in 2009. For comparison's sake, the Cardinals drafted
Beanie Wells #31 that year. Wells is out of football now.
Along
with McCoy, Jamaal Charles is one of the league's top running backs
too. Charles was drafted in the third round in 2008. Here is a list of
players drafted ahead of Charles - Darren McFadden (4), Jonathan Stewart (13), Felix Jones (22), Rashard Mendenhall (23), Chris Johnson (24), Matt Forte (44), Ray Rice (55), Kevin Smith (64), and than Jamaal Charles was drafted 73rd.
Joique Bell is the backup running back to Reggie Bush in Detroit right now. Bell was undrafted in 2010 and bounced around his first year in the league before finding a home with the Lions. In 2011, the Lions drafted Jahvid Best in the first round and in 2012 drafted Mikel Leshoure in the second round. Best is retired with concussion problems and Leshoure has been inactive all year.
Two running backs were
drafted in the top 12 of the 2010 draft. Bills took CJ Spiller 8th and
the Chargers took Ryan Mathews 12th. Both men have had their moments of
productivity and Spiller is considered one of the league's top
playmakers. But both men are too fragile and often injured, the nature
of this position. Which makes it hard to justify using such high picks
and guys who will break down so easily.
While not as
injury-proned as Spiller and Mathews, both Doug Martin and David Wilson
on currently on IR. Martin (31) and Wilson (32) were the other two RBs
draft last season after Richardson went 3rd overall.
Going
back to 2010, Spiller, Mathews and Best were all first round picks. But
later in that draft was Shane Vereen (2), Steven Ridley (3), Demarco
Murray (3), Kendall Hunter (4), Bilal Powell (4), and Jacquizz Rodgers
(5), all of whom have had some form of success as a starter or backup.
Some would say Ridley and Murray are better than Mathews. One constant
with every RB in this draft is their injury history.
We
can't write an article like this without mentioning Arian Foster was
undrafted. Beanie Wells was a first round pick that year, but Arian
Foster was undrafted. Glenn Coffee (round 4), Gartrell Jonhson (4), Frank Summers (5), Javarris Williams (7) were all drafted and Arian Foster was not...
You
can never predict injuries, especially in the NFL. But running backs,
especially the last few years, seem to be the most disposable of any
position. As long as you have a strong offensive line, good quarterback
play and a good scheme, you can realistically throw any running back in
the game.
So no running backs were taken in the 2013 first round, which is amazing when you consider how successful some of this year's rookie backs have been. However due to the fragility of the position it is hard to justify using an early pick on the position in the future, especially when it is one with such fluidity.
Look at all the injuries this year - Arian Foster, Doug Martin, David Wilson, Ahmad Bradshaw., to name a few. Look at guys who have struggled - Trent Richardson, Ray Rice come to mind.
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